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Vital Factors Influencing Gulf Economic Outlooks for 2026
Sub-Saharan African nations account for around one-third of the overall, followed by Latin America and the Middle East (the latter 2 together representing over 40% of the total). Including, there has been an (from 90.3 in 2000-04 to 92.6 and 92.3 in the five years pre- and post-pandemic ).
and ranked greater than others; UAE is up more than 45 locations in 2024 compared to 2000 while Qatar climbed 24; both Saudi Arabia and Oman increased 17 ranks during the period. The trapped or worse off nations are some parts of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa where structural improvement has actually stalled.
The 2026 Middle East Fiscal Projectionshows a considerable increase in average EDI ratings from 86.8 in 2000-04 to 92.6 in 2020-24, (up more than 10 points in the initial period versus 2020-24). with UAE outperforming in the trade sub-index (supported by current bilateral trade contracts & non-oil exports push). vs its pre-pandemic reading (partially provided the rise in medium & state-of-the-art production information).

Its diversity metrics have stagnated, showing the least improvement in between the initial (2000-04) and last (2020-24) referral periods., regardless of the headwinds of OPEC+ production cuts. A robust non-hydrocarbon expansion was supported by the GCC's robust domestic demand (supported by a strong job pipeline and implementation) and strong services sector performance.
The 2026 Middle East Fiscal ProjectionKuwait and Saudi Arabia clocked in a boost in non-hydrocarbon profits, "primarily reflecting non-hydrocarbon tax base growths and income collection performance enhancements", according to the IMF. In the present geopolitical environment characterized by intensifying, it is in the best interests of product dependent nations to diversify its export base, exports and trade partners.
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